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Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015

Identifieur interne : 000358 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000357; suivant : 000359

Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015

Auteurs : Timothée Vergne ; Guillaume Fournié ; Michal Perry Markovich ; Rolf J. F. Ypma ; Ram Katz ; Irena Shkoda ; Avishai Lublin ; Shimon Perk ; Dirk U. Pfeiffer

Source :

RBID : Hal:hal-01479391

Abstract

The transmission tree of the Israeli 2015 epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) was modelled by combining the spatio-temporal distribution of the outbreaks and the genetic distance between virus isolates. The most likely successions of transmission events were determined and transmission parameters were estimated. It was found that the median infectious pressure exerted at 1 km was 1.59 times (95% CI 1.04, 6.01) and 3.54 times (95% CI 1.09, 131.75) higher than that exerted at 2 and 5 km, respectively, and that three farms were responsible for all seven transmission events.


Url:
DOI: 10.1186/s13567-016-0393-2


Affiliations:


Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)


Le document en format XML

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<p>The transmission tree of the Israeli 2015 epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) was modelled by combining the spatio-temporal distribution of the outbreaks and the genetic distance between virus isolates. The most likely successions of transmission events were determined and transmission parameters were estimated. It was found that the median infectious pressure exerted at 1 km was 1.59 times (95% CI 1.04, 6.01) and 3.54 times (95% CI 1.09, 131.75) higher than that exerted at 2 and 5 km, respectively, and that three farms were responsible for all seven transmission events.</p>
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<name sortKey="Lublin, Avishai" sort="Lublin, Avishai" uniqKey="Lublin A" first="Avishai" last="Lublin">Avishai Lublin</name>
<name sortKey="Markovich, Michal Perry" sort="Markovich, Michal Perry" uniqKey="Markovich M" first="Michal Perry" last="Markovich">Michal Perry Markovich</name>
<name sortKey="Perk, Shimon" sort="Perk, Shimon" uniqKey="Perk S" first="Shimon" last="Perk">Shimon Perk</name>
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<name sortKey="Ypma, Rolf J F" sort="Ypma, Rolf J F" uniqKey="Ypma R" first="Rolf J. F." last="Ypma">Rolf J. F. Ypma</name>
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